Monday, April 24, 2017

SnowWorld valuation according to Benjamin Graham number

SnowWorld was reverse listed and made an offering of extra shares in January 2014.

SECTOR: [PASS]  SnowWorld is in retail and food service and neither a technology nor financial Company, and therefore this methodology is applicable. 

SALES: [FAIL] The investor must select companies of "adequate size". This includes companies with annual sales greater than €260 million. SnowWorld's sales of €26 million, based on 2016 sales, fails this test.

CURRENT RATIO: [FAIL] The current ratio must be greater than or equal to 2. Companies that meet this criterion are typically financially secure and defensive. SnowWorld's current ratio $2,1m/$13,1 of 0.2 fails the test.

LONG-TERM DEBT IN RELATION TO NET CURRENT ASSETS: [FAIL] For industrial companies, long-term debt must not exceed net current assets (current assets minus current liabilities). Companies that do not meet this criterion lack the financial stability that this methodology likes to see. The long-term debt for SnowWorld is €37 million, while the net current assets are - €11 million. SnowWorld fails this test.

LONG-TERM EPS GROWTH: [PASS]  Companies must increase their EPS by at least 30% over a ten-year period and EPS must not have been negative for any year within the last 5 years. Companies with this type of growth tend to be financially secure and have proven themselves over time. SnowWorld EPS grew by 42% over the past 4 years and passes this test.

Earnings Yield:  [PASS] The Earnings/Price (inverse P/E) %, based on the lesser of the current Earnings Yield or the Yield using average earnings over the last 3 fiscal years, must be "acceptable", which this methodology states is greater than 6,5%. Stocks with higher earnings yields are more defensive by nature. SnowWorld's E/P of  8% (using the current Earnings) passes this test.

Graham Number value: [FAIL] The Price/Book ratio must also be reasonable. That is the Graham number value must be greater than the market price. SnowWorld has a Graham number of (15 x €0,8 EPS x 1,5 x €4,4 Book Value) = €9,2

Dividend= 0%

It is interesting to see how SnowWorld's price has recently approached the Graham value. Currently at 9,83 Euros there is no margin of safety for the Graham Defensive investor. Earnings are currently increasing (due to expansion in facilities), but so is debt.

See: for more in depth, qualitative analysis in Dutch.

Comments, questions or E-mails welcome:

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