The Singularity is (much) Nearer

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Summit_(supercomputer) the Cray Xt5 did 1,8 x 10^15 Mips (millions of instructions per second) = 2 Petaflops, now 9 years later the IBM Summit does 200 Petaflops, 100x as much. "The human brain is estimated to operate at about 1 exaflop (that's 1,000 petaflops)" thats just 5x from where we are today and "we" did 100x in the past 9 years. 

December 2022: 

https://chat.openai.com/chat 

In June 2022, Almira Osmanovic Thunström wrote that GPT-3 was the primary author on an article on itself, that they had submitted it for publication,^[23] and that it had been pre-published while waiting for completion of its review.

2026 The Singularity is Here 

My first concern is that, since roughly this summer, AI has been advancing drastically faster, driven primarily by AI’s growing ability to build the next generation of AI. This dynamic is called recursive self-improvement, and it is starting to happen across the industry, including at Anthropic, as we and others have described.      https://darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier