Monday, March 30, 2020

Ontario curve VERY ROUGH estimate March 30th


Assumption is 1% decrease in growth percentage per day. See:

https://www.jpost.com/HEALTH-SCIENCE/Israeli-nobel-laureate-Coronavirus-spread-is-slowing-621145

Figures from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Ontario

DateExtra cases per dayTotalGrowth
3/12/202059Measured
3/13/20202079Measured
3/14/202024103Measured
3/15/202043146Measured
3/16/202031177Measured
3/17/202012189Measured
3/18/202025214Measured
3/19/202044258Measured
3/20/202060318Measured
3/21/202059377Measured
3/22/202048425Measured
3/23/202078503Measured
3/24/202085588Measured
3/25/2020100688Measured
3/26/2020170858Measured
3/27/2020135993Measured
3/28/20201511144Measured
3/29/20201821326Measured
3/30/2020212153816.00%Estimated
3/31/2020231176915.00%Estimated
4/1/2020248201714.00%Estimated
4/2/2020262227913.00%Estimated
4/3/2020273255212.00%Estimated
4/4/2020281283311.00%Estimated
4/5/2020283311610.00%Estimated
4/6/202028033979.00%Estimated
4/7/202027236688.00%Estimated
4/8/202025739257.00%Estimated
4/9/202023641616.00%Estimated
4/10/202020843695.00%Estimated
4/11/202017545434.00%Estimated
4/12/202013646803.00%Estimated
4/13/20209447732.00%Estimated
4/14/20204848211.00%Estimated
4/15/2020048210.00%Estimated

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