Brazil curve rough forecast

Numbers seem very low to me. Estimated could be much too low. Every year about 1,4 million Brazilians die, which is around 3 500 per day. 

Normally around	3500		people die every day in Brazil.
COVID 19 curve forecast (deaths)
Date	Total deaths per day	Extra deaths per day	Cumul. deaths	Growth
3/19/2020	3507	7	7	42%	Measured
3/20/2020	3504	4	11	57%	Measured
3/21/2020	3507	7	18	64%	Measured
3/22/2020	3507	7	25	39%	Measured
3/23/2020	3509	9	34	36%	Measured
3/24/2020	3512	12	46	35%	Measured
3/25/2020	3511	11	57	24%	Measured
3/26/2020	3520	20	77	35%	Measured
3/27/2020	3515	15	92	19%	Measured
3/28/2020	3522	22	114	24%	Measured
3/29/2020	3522	22	136	19%	Measured
3/30/2020	3523	23	159	17%	Measured
3/31/2020	3542	42	201	26%	Measured
4/1/2020	3539	39	240	19%	Measured
4/2/2020	3560	60	300	25%	Estimated
4/3/2020	3575	75	375	24%	Estimated
4/4/2020	3590	90	465	23%	Estimated
4/5/2020	3607	107	572	22%	Estimated
4/6/2020	3626	126	698	21%	Estimated
4/7/2020	3647	147	844	20%	Estimated
4/8/2020	3669	169	1013	19%	Estimated
4/9/2020	3693	193	1206	18%	Estimated
4/10/2020	3717	217	1423	17%	Estimated
4/11/2020	3742	242	1665	16%	Estimated
4/12/2020	3766	266	1931	15%	Estimated
4/13/2020	3790	290	2221	14%	Estimated
4/14/2020	3811	311	2531	13%	Estimated
4/15/2020	3829	329	2860	12%	Estimated
4/16/2020	3843	343	3204	11%	Estimated
4/17/2020	3852	352	3556	10%	Estimated
4/18/2020	3856	356	3912	9%	Estimated
4/19/2020	3852	352	4264	8%	Estimated
4/20/2020	3841	341	4605	7%	Estimated
4/21/2020	3822	322	4927	6%	Estimated
4/22/2020	3796	296	5223	5%	Estimated
4/23/2020	3761	261	5484	4%	Estimated
4/24/2020	3719	219	5703	3%	Estimated
4/25/2020	3671	171	5875	1%	Estimated